Sunday, November 27, 2016

Watch Tuesday for Big Move!

The SPX is due to go down into Wednesday. I believe the 2144/45 area beckons.  The June 27 low was exactly 110 TD's from the Jan 19 low.  Adding 110 TD's to June 27th gives us Nov 30, the 5 month low.  This should have been the low for November. The cycles are either off or we have a huge down week ahead of us. Normally, off a wedge, the first support is the 1991 area.  We never got that low.
The recent high is not confirmed by OBV (on-balance volume), neither is the running A/D line.  It looks like a 64 TD top (+2) right here and perhaps the beginning of something bigger.
I had 2213 SPX marked as the expected top for around the 16 TD top due mid month and we hit that at the end of the day Friday.  It has built a nasty wedge on the hourly chart.
Venus sq. Uranus is telling us to look for a nasty surprise on Tuesday regarding a monetary issue. The Sun, Moon and Saturn are in Sagittarius early next week and the Sun sq. Neptune on Wednesday (look for the OPEC meeting on Wednesday as a possible catalyst too). On Tuesday, Saturn is 17.4 degrees in Sagittarius, the same as it was during the crash of '87 Oct 19th (and for the first time since).  I can't imagine a crash off a top this quickly, but it certainly fits the normal cycles and a possible Wave Z. If it does crash, downside targets are 1991 and then 1950 SPX.
If GDX falls on Monday, it would be a sign to exit all longs as there is a Sun sq. Neptune Direct turn due Wednesday.  If we rally, look for higher prices into Wednesday.
The big play this week will likely be the stock market.


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Tuesday, November 22, 2016

Gold Should Rally, Stocks Should Drop

GDX looks to rally hard in a ‘c’ of “C” wave, likely into Early the 25th.  We could see GDX around 24.50.  It looks like a bear rally. The jobs report on December 2 could knock the precious metals sector down like it did from November 9-14.

The SPX is running on fumes and should drop at least to the 2162 area by early Friday I would think. Higher highs into next November 30-December 1 look likely and up to around 2208/09.  My target for next week of 2203 was hit today.

The stock market 40 week low (November 4 on the cash market and November 9 on the futures market) marked an X wave of a larger topping process. It is very odd for a 40 week low to be so shallow, but I have resigned to the fact that it has already come.  By next week, we may see the Wave Y top with Z to come to the down side.


Wave X started on July 15th and ended on September 12th. Wave Y began on September 12th and should end next week. Normally, Wave Z of a topping pattern like this comes swiftly, but may take longer than either Wave X or Y. The next possible 10 week low would be due in early/mid January and then the 20 week low in early to late March. This coming low should be a much larger one than recent ones.




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Sunday, November 20, 2016

Stock Market Warning Signs, Gold Bounce Due

All year, I have been looking for an important bottom in the stock market around the end of November. The 40 week cycle low is due to give us at least an 11% shellacking and we have not seen one yet. I believe November 29th to December 5th may be the dates that will give us that drop. Short term we are also due for a pullback, probably into November 21-22 of about 1 ½ to 2% off the top on Friday.  Friday posted an evening star reversal sign.

Gold made an irregular bottom on Friday, with huge positive divergences. GDX did not make a new bottom, also, creating an inter market bullish divergence.  We may see a huge spike up Monday and Tuesday, in the precious metals and GDX, as the stock market falls.

On the astro front, we are running into a plethora of reversal signatures coming up all together forming a cardinal T-square on the 29th.  I discussed some of these aspects a few posts ago (I hope it is not an internal power coup, but a money play, like perhaps the Chinese devaluing the yuan that causes the expected downdraft: Venus square Uranus on the 29th gives us some hint of that).

Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (November 5-16) dropped the PM’s down hard; now we have Geocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (November 12-December 2) and the Sun (rules gold) joining in Sagittarius on November 21 (with the moon in Leo), which means a strong move up initially and should generally remain strong into December 2 for GDX and into December 5 for gold, itself.




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Thursday, November 17, 2016

Stock Market Air Pocket Due

The stock market is in a position where it should see a 2-3% air pocket Friday November 18th and possibly early into early Monday the 21st. The SPX has a downside target of 2120's to the 2140's.  Monday is the ten week low from Sept 12.

The pattern is bullish after the sell-off with another higher high due late next week.  The Jupiter aspects are strongly bullish into about the Thanksgiving Holiday.

The overall Wave 4 (since late 2014) of 5 (since 2009) of V (since 1942) of [V] (since about 1776) current viewpoint is still intact.  Wave 2's and 4's can have all kinds of nuances in the internal wave counts.  R.N. Elliott, himself, said he preferred to stay out of trading during these times.

As far as the current, very short term outlook is concerned, there are some troublesome developments, but the outcome looks bullish once complete.

Current astro is topping, bearish:

Nov 17, 2016     5:10 PM                Neptune  9 Pisces 15 opposition                                        True Node  9 Virgo 15

Nov 18, 2016     9:58 AM                Mercury  9 Sagittarius                                        square  True Node  9 Virgo 11

Nov 18, 2016    11:04 AM                Mercury  9 Sagittarius 15                                                       square  Neptune  9 Pisces 15

The 8 TD low +/- 10 TD's plus the 5 week low is due in this time frame.

We have an irregular top on top of another irregular top on the SPX with negative money flow and momentum divergences, along with inter market bearish divergences.  On Saturday we have Neptune turning stationary direct, which is a reversal signature.

Bottom line is I expect Friday to be down hard into the 2120's/40's SPX, but then I turn bullish Monday.

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Sunday, November 13, 2016

Weekend Update

The SPX chart below shows a possible 2204/05 instead of 2213 by Tuesday.  After I put out 2213 SPX as my target early next week, Tom DeMark put out an identical target by Wednesday next week. What are the odds?

There is also a possibility that Thursday's long legged doji marked the top, too. I have no real sell signal yet to confirm this though.  My preferred cycle top date is Tuesday +/-.

The end of November low could tag near to 1860 or down about 15%.  I think down 11% from top to bottom is a given.



The next chart of GLD shows an overnight gold futures adjustment.  The X of Y Wave pattern is an extremely bullish xyz.


Should be an interesting next couple of weeks!

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Friday, November 11, 2016

Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then?

Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.

On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).

There are some worrisome astro aspects ahead, especially around November 18th going into around November 29th. Firstly, we have a super moon on Monday near the 3 week cycle top next week in Taurus in the second house of money. This should represent a topping area. It is also a Bradley turn.

Secondly, as we approach OPEX (11/18), Mercury squares Neptune (dishonesty,chaos, New World Order [is this a conspiracy?]), then Neptune turns Stationary Direct on the 19th, which implies reversals of any attempt to rally.  Mercury conjuncts Saturn on the November 23rd (fear). On the 24th of November (Thanksgiving), Jupiter squares Pluto (extremes, trouble, violence), then on the 25th Venus conjuncts Pluto (despair, destruction).

The Mercury (communicating) trine Uranus  aspect (rebellion) of November 26th, looks like an exhaustion of sorts, so we may open down hard on the 28th. Venus squares Uranus (love of money), this may be the bottom or close. It is also a Bradley turn. The moon moves into Capricorn and out of Sagittarius on December 1, so any selling should be gone by the second of December at the latest.


The charts of both the S&P 500 and GDX below show that we may see a huge plunge in the stock market and a huge rally in gold and the miners into the last week of November.  Geocentric Mercury moves into Sagittarius on November 12 and ends on the 2nd of December. This implies huge moves in the gold complex.  My read says BIG up from the November 11 into the end of November.



Could this be New World Order revenge coming? Has anyone noticed the Dow Industrials up over 200 today, with the SPX up only 4 and the NASDAQ 100 down almost 2%? This is a market headed for trouble, at least in the short term. Sounds like a test on the way.

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Monday, November 7, 2016

Follow the E-Waves, Follow the Yellow Brick Road!


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Sunday, November 6, 2016

Countdown: An E-Wave Perspective

"In order to understand where we are now and where are going, we must first understand where we have been." ~ Professor Jennifer Cunningham
"Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it." ~ George Santayana
"History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme." ~ Mark Twain
Going back and reevaluating the wave counts going back to the founding of our country, I realized I had made a mistake and that is we are in the final 5th of a 5th of a 5th which, itself, may be a millennial 3rd wave going back through European statistics to around 1000 C.E.

This 5th wave (called the Grand Super Cycle) started around 1776 and Super Cycle Wave 1 of that wave ended around the time of the Jacksonian presidency in 1837, when he challenged the European central bankers and we fell into 2 separate depressions in the 1830's and '40's and then the 1850's, creating Wave 2 (a flat), ending in 1857. Super cycle wave 2 preceded the Civil War and was instrumental in causing it. According to the Fourth Turning, this war was a crisis war for our nation and part of the normal 80-year cycle of crisis wars.

Super Cycle Wave 3 ended in 1928/29 and was about 71/72 years in length. Contrary to popular thought, Super Cycle Wave 4 did not end until February 1942. (A similar wave count occurred in 1988 ending Primary wave 4 of Cycle Wave 5. I studied the internal waves, and Primary Wave 4 did not end until November 1988, not late 1987 as most believe. Robert Prechter made a mistake in assuming that the 1932-37 up wave was Wave 1, it was instead part of Super Cycle Wave 4).

Super Cycle Wave 5 began in February 1942 and counts Cycle Wave 1: March 1966; Cycle Wave 2: December 1974; Cycle Wave 3 ending in March 2000 with Cycle Wave 4 ending in March 2009. We are in the final Cycle Wave 5 and within Primary Wave 4 of that wave. Primary Wave 4 should end around late September or early October 2017 near 1800 on the S&P 500 according to the chart below.  Primary Wave 5 should end in late November 2018 (according to my best guess) around 3300 on the S&P 500!


Many people like Harry Dent believe the BIG crash is starting sooner than that, but they don't understand Elliott Wave Theory like I do. He knows that near the year 2020, there is an important bottom due, so kudos to him and his work, I really respect him! 2020/21 is also the expected Benner's Cycle bottom!

The 88-year great grandfather cycle has worked really well. The post WWI recession of 1920/21 adding 88 years equals 2008/09. According to the same cycle, we should be seeing a final top in late 2017, but my Elliott Wave work suggests it should come a year late (due to Central Bank manipulation, or the fact that we are living longer or both). That means we all have about 2 years to prepare for the worst crash since the Great Depression and then World War III!

The chart below is of the Dow Jones Industrials (quarterly bars) from the 1910's to present. I believe we are finishing a Millennial Wave 3 from about the year 1000 C.E.. The reason I believe this, is that the equality of time between the three Grand Super Cycles has been approximately the same and it seems to have the power of a 3rd wave. Grand Super Cycle Wave 1 began around 1000 and ended around 1350 C.E, (350 years) the GSC Wave 2 was about 50 years long and ended near 1400 (caused no doubt by the Black Plague). GSC Wave 3 started around 1400 and ended with the South Sea Bubble in England and Mississippi land speculation in France in 1720. GSC Wave 3 was about 320 years long. GSC Wave 4 ended around the 1770-80's and was about 50 to 60 years long. We have been in GSC Wave 5 ever since.


What happens after 2018 is just a guess. If I'm right and we are ending Millennial Wave 3, Millennial Wave 4 should be about 100 years in length (based on the past). Wave 4's in the past have often times been brutal in the early stages too (the 1929-42 period saw the worst of it in the first 22% time wise of the entire 4th wave.  [2018+22 = 2040]). GSC Wave 4 from 1720 to 1770/80 really had little recovery from the earlier speculation excesses and basically flat lined for 50-60 years. Super Cycle Wave 4 from 1928-42 (Super Cycle Wave 3 actually ended in 1928, the top in 1929 was irregular) saw the worst part of the crash early on from 1929-32 over about 2.75 years. The SC Wave 4 time period actually saw two great economic depressions: 1929-33/34 and 1937/38-42 with an intervening prosperity period that included the WPA work programs.

Nostradamus talks about a period of precarious peace after WWIII and a great leader from America born near the end of WWII who raises a great army and ends the Moslem army occupation of Europe (Islam is already entrenched in Europe, so it shouldn't be too hard to overwhelm the continent). When he dies, basically all hell breaks loose. I also remember a prophecy about a great leader who comes out of Germany, but would be of Bourbon descent. He would have wavy hair and a hawkish nose (I will leave speculation of who this might be to the reader; I have my own idea).

I am a religious liberal, but a moral conservative. For too long now, the Luciferian power wielders in this world have blinded and controlled both sides in a false left/right paradigm using the Hegelian Dialectic: Thesis + Antithesis = Synthesis or Whole. The Apostle Paul speaks about a time in the future when men will call evil good and good evil. This happens at both extremes: The conservative right and liberal left with the thinker left none-the-wiser.

Just by observing the liberal led media and those who follow the mantra (drink the kool-aid so to speak), one can see this dialectic in process. Conversely, someone in my church might label me "of the devil" because I use astrology to help me understand the markets or what's going on in society as a whole. Another facet of this dialectic in process might be the Church's condemnation of Nostradamus or Edgar Cayce for that matter. Quite another could be eschatological (future) interpretations of scriptural prophecies that have no basis in truth or solid exegesis, but rather introduced through nefarious forces, which purposely mislead us in order to control us. Aye, there's the rub. We only have ourselves to blame for the mess we are in, don't we?
"We have met the enemy and he is us." ~ Pogo
"All it takes for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing." ~ Edmund Burke
Lucifer (this includes those who follow him) conquers us through our ignorance and superstition. We are told we have a right to our opinions, but it begs the question do we really have that right when we have not earned it through careful and meticulous study?

Most conservatives can see right through the liberal media's lies, but they can't see their own shortcomings often times because I believe they have already formed their opinions too early in life. Truth is an ongoing search, not something found, but rather a process of finding. I am 62 years old and I have barely begun to scratch the surface of my quest for truth. I can tell you this: I tend to form my opinions slowly over time and am always ready to be wrong if someone or something else can prove me wrong.

The fight between good and evil: God Almighty and Lucifer is real one. Don't fool yourself into thinking otherwise. I have experienced many supernatural things in my lifetime. I know better. Because of this, it is incumbent upon me to make a difference in this world; to be one of many to help preserve the earth and the knowledge of these times for those of our posterity who will no doubt survive the coming Millennial 4th Wave calamities and usher in the Millennial reign of Christ and the coming Millennial 5th Wave.

In the not too distant future, I'm starting a new monthly newsletter called "Countdown". In this newsletter, I shall endeavor to help folks stay informed to current events and how to survive the precarious times to which we are fast heading. It will involve a sense of community, not heading off into the mountains into your bomb shelter type of thing. I shall also endeavor to teach people the proper and exegetical interpretations of scriptural prophecy, and what they mean in our lifetime as well as other prophecies outside of the Bible. I am also a singer and songwriter. Music is always a great motivator.

My wife and I wrote the popular Tea Party rally song "We Aint' Goin' Away" with Bruce Bellott in 2010.

You may go to http://www.soundclick.com/eagleriverhighway to listen to the 12 song album.

Here is the link to Bruce's video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G7xPMq45p6Q


Please e-mail me if you are interested in possibly subscribing to the newsletter.

Now onto the election and what I see as possible in the coming weeks. I have been saying since last week that I believe that from what I'm observing that there may be a false sense that Hillary has won the race and the stock market will rally into the following week. Already, the stock market is way oversold, especially on a money flow basis. Lots of money has been taken out of the stock market in the last two weeks, but at the same time it has only fallen about 3% on average. This is very strange behavior indeed! Could it be that the FED has held it up on purpose to try to keep Hillary in the game?

It looks to me that we are still in Wave B of a larger Wave B that should finish around December 15-20, 2016. Of that first B wave wave, a Wave (y) to the upside is due [from wave (x)]. The big question is: how far up? That is the unknown factor.

Right now, I would say that a minimum move up would be back to where wave 'c' of (x) began and that is near 2154/55. After that: 2169/70, then 2202/03, then 2114. This should occur by around November 15th near the super moon and 16 TD top. Chart below shows the minimum move.


 This chart of the QQQ shows a broadening top formation that could easily make a new high by mid month:


We shorted GDX with DUST on the last trade making about 5% after getting whipsawed twice around the FED meeting. We went long with NUGT around 24.90 GDX, so we are up slightly. I expect to see 26 plus early next week before falling into mid month. We'll see.

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Best to all.

Brad


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Thursday, November 3, 2016

Relief Rally Expected

The SPX is attempting to rally this morning and we had those strange up blips in the after market yesterday on the SPY to 213.10, but earlier this week saw one that went to 215.53 and it did not work as it has in the past.

Ideally, we see a market top today +/- 2 TD's. The last three 8 TD cycles (+/- 2) ran 6+6+10.  We have another trine on Nov 5th, the last two (Oct 30 & Nov 1) knocked the market down after holding it up slightly on very strange internal e-wave patterns that normally suggest higher prices (the problem with interpreting bearish abc waves). 

The moon is in Sagittarius and many lows are formed in Sagittarius especially around Capricorn turns (today).  Scorpio sun sq's the moon in Aquarius Sunday through Tuesday and that usually means selling.  We may have an irregular bottom forming next week around election, but a rally into November 15th looks to be the case and as high as the upper 2190's or low 2200's.

Bradley turns are helio-geo Nov 1-3 top (obviously inverted), helio-geo Nov 13-15 (bottom, inverted again it looks to be a top & full moon the 14th) and then helio-geo-geo-helio Nov 24, 25, 28, 29 (top but again inverted likely).  The last one is a HUGE turn in many ways and may well represent the 10/20/40 week low (ideal low due Nov 28).  Dec 1 is a trine as is Nov 26 so....

We had positive divergences forming later in the day yesterday and also today, so a relief bounce is expected perhaps on the jobs report (non-farm payrolls 11/4). Already, the fear index and P/C ratio are screaming fear and this kind of behavior is found near bottoms. The astros tell us more selling early next week though (election jitters?).

Speaking of the election, I thought that the stock market was supposed to rally if Hillary won??? But then we get a huge sell-off from the 15th down to the 28th???  Does that mean early on, people think Hillary won, but then she doesn't???

Overall, the bigger picture suggests Wave B of a larger Y (X arrived on Feb 11, 2016) wave due on or near Nov 28 (SPX 1950?) and again a double bottom on Dec 20 (per the TLC white line on the chart).  If this chart is correct, we see much higher prices into the end of Feb 2017 out of the Dec 20 low.

Wave Z of B could be the big one everyone is expecting here in November and could occur as early as late April 2017 or as late as early October 2017 if Wave Z falls in ABC fashion.  We could easily see the SPX down into the mid to upper 1600's depending on where it where Wave Z terminates. Out of Wave B comes the final Wave C rally into 2018 before the expected horrendous crash (worst since 1929-32). The market tends to run an approximate 88 year cycle, which is four 22-year generational cycles (Sept 1929 + 88 years = late 2017). The 88-year cycle is not perfect, but it is close.

Benner's Cycle along with McClellan's work on peak oil price (2008) +10 years picks market tops and that is 2018. The low expected is 2020/21 based one Benner's Cycle last seen 2000/2003 and 1984-87 before that (Harry Dent agrees with 2020 for the low). After this coming bottom, 2037-40, which is near the 60/62 year K cycle top in gold due 2040-42 (post WWIII inflation?).

Last week I predicted GDX would hit 26.02 by Friday this week and then a pull back.  Yesterday saw 25.93 and an engulfing cloud and today what appears to be a bearish harami. Gold seems to be going opposite the stock market right now so we are likely to see a relief rally Friday (or today into Friday) and a sell-off in gold.

This weekend and forward, I'll draw up larger charts looking at the bigger picture. Wow! These are crazy times!


Be informed! Get Ready! Big Changes Coming!

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Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Stock Market Rally on FED Speak Today?

The chart below shows that we have the likely hood of staging a huge rally today in the stock market.  In fact, the NASDAQ 100 could make a new high by Friday.  The trines of October 30 and November 1, turned out to be exhaustion points in a down trend. The 5/10/20 and 40 week lows still loom ahead and are due sometime in mid to late month. Thanksgiving week could be pivotal.


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Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years.

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Tuesday, November 1, 2016